Gold has punched through to yet another all-time high, with spot prices hitting $3,870.14 (£≈2,887) per ounce in early Tuesday trading. The metal is also on track for its best month in more than a decade (since 2011) as safe-haven demand swells on U.S. government-shutdown jitters and growing expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts.
What’s driving the surge
- Shutdown risk & data delays: A potential U.S. government shutdown could temporarily halt key economic releases, muddying visibility and pushing investors toward assets that don’t rely on cash-flow forecasts – like gold.
- Rate-cut expectations: Markets continue to price a more accommodative Fed into year-end. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, historically a tailwind for bullion.
- Rising ETF demand: Holdings of the world’s largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, have ticked up to the highest since July 2022, another sign of broad-based buying.
Why this matters for UK gold buyers
- Diversification when headlines get messy: Political stand-offs and macro uncertainty tend to amplify equity and bond volatility. Physical gold historically plays the role of portfolio ballast in such periods.
- Rates turning from headwind to tailwind: If the Fed continues easing, real yields are likely to soften—typically constructive for gold’s medium-term trend.
- Institutional flows are back: Re-accumulation into major ETFs supports price discovery and can reinforce uptrends.
Bottom line for Bullion Club investors
Gold’s breakout isn’t just a headline – it reflects a changing macro regime where policy risk + lower rates revive the case for strategic allocations to physical bullion and legal-tender coins. If the data calendar goes dark during a shutdown and the Fed leans easier, dips may be shallow and the path toward $4,000 (£≈2,984) could remain open.
Thinking about refining your allocation or starting a position? Bullion Club can help you compare coin options, storage vs. insured delivery, and execution costs so your gold exposure fits your objectives.